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Columbia, SC Real Estate Brief

2026-09-30

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Show Notes - 2026-09-30

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Today: 30-year fixed mortgage rates hit 7.58% (highest since November 2023), national foreclosure filings jumped 13% year-over-year, and price cuts across the US reached a four-year high as higher rates choke demand.


Market Pulse

Mortgage rates climbed to 7.58% on Tuesday, the highest level since November 1, 2023. The average 30-year fixed rose from 7.12% to 7.30% last week before surging another 28 basis points this week, according to Mortgage Bankers Association data. Refinance applications dropped 9% week-over-week and are down 56% year-over-year. Purchase applications fell 4% for the week and are 14% below last year.

For Richland County, this means your pre-approved buyers from 30 days ago are now facing monthly payments $150-200 higher on a $350K home. Adjustable-rate mortgages hit 10.3% of applications last week - the highest share since October 2025 - as buyers hunt for any rate relief. ARMs are running about 80 basis points below fixed rates, which makes them worth discussing with cost-sensitive buyers who plan to move or refinance within 5-7 years.

National home price growth accelerated to 1.9% in July, up from 1.6% in June, per the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index. But inflation ran at 3.4%, meaning real home values declined for the 14th consecutive month. Price cuts hit 20.8% of listings in September - the highest September reading since 2018 and the first time in 2026 that cuts exceeded prior-year levels. Pending sales nationally fell 4.1% year-over-year, the first negative reading in eight months.

Columbia sellers: if your listing has been live for more than two weeks without an offer, price is likely the issue. National inventory is up 5.5% year-over-year, and the data show buyers pulling back hard as rates climb. Adjust pricing now rather than chasing the market down through November.

Deal Flow

Foreclosure filings rose 13% nationally from a year ago as more homes move into repossession. While the article doesn't break out South Carolina data, this is a leading indicator worth monitoring locally. Contact your title company or foreclosure attorney contacts and ask what their Richland/Lexington pipeline looks like. Pre-foreclosure and REO inventory can be a source of deals for investor clients, but only if you're tracking it before it hits MLS.

New home sales nationally jumped in August as builders offered aggressive incentives - rate buydowns, closing cost credits, and option upgrades - to move inventory in a 7%+ rate environment. If you're working with buyers priced out of resale, walk them through new construction options. Builders are competing hard right now and many are willing to negotiate.

Industry & Legal

The Homeownership Promise Act introduced by Oregon Senators Merkley and Wyden would create HUD-managed savings accounts matching every $1 contributed by a first-time homebuyer with $5, up to $60,000 total ($10K personal contribution max). The bill was referred to committee on September 23. This is early-stage legislation with no timeline, but it signals continued federal interest in down payment assistance. If it gains traction, it could materially expand your first-time buyer pool in 2027-2028.

NAHB is surveying single-family builders on construction cost changes across seven build stages (site work, foundations, framing, exterior, rough-ins, interior, final). If you work with custom builders or spec developers in the Columbia market, this is worth flagging - construction cost inflation directly feeds into new home pricing and resale comps.